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Archive for the ‘2015 Oscar Predictions’ Category

2015 Oscar Predictions

 

Once again the Oscars are upon us and the nominations are released.  I constantly question why I really care, but for some reason I do.  I’m only sticking to the big guys this year, so here are my thoughts.

 

Best Picture

American Sniper

Birdman

Selma

Boyhood – Should Win

The Imitation Game

The Theory of Everything

Grand Budapest Hotel – Will Win

Whiplash – I Want to Win

The Academy goes down to 8 nominations here, which is still too many, but there’s a couple good ones in here.  American Sniper is nominated purely for the reason that the majority of film goers haven’t seen anything else on this list.  Whiplash was my favorite film this year, but it’s a stretch.  Boyhood deserves this, but I think if the Golden Globes were any indicator it’s Wes Anderson’s time to shine with Grand Budapest Hotel.

Best Actor

Steve Carrell – Foxcatcher

Bradley Cooper – American Sniper

Michael Keaton – BirdmanWill win, Should Win

Benedict Cumberbach – The Imitation Game

Eddie Redmayne – The Theory of Everything

There’s no way Keaton doesn’t win this.  He was a tour de force in Birdman, and it’s the type of film and performance the Academy loves.  For the record I hated Carrell in Foxcatcher and Cooper was laughable in American Sniper.  I’m shocked they were even nominated, and even more shocked Gyllenhaal didn’t get nominated.  Huge snub.

Best Actress

Marion Cotillard – Two Days, One Night

Felicity Jones – The Theory of Everything

Julianne Moore – Still Alice – Should Win, Will Win

Rosamund Pike – Gone Girl

Reese Witherspoon – Wild

I think I’m actually going against the grain here.  Witherspoon is probably the odds on favorite, but Moore is due…I way beyond due for an Oscar, and she’s fantastic as a woman slowly slipping into early alzheimer’s.

Best Supporting Actor

Robert Duvall – The Judge

Ethan Hawke – Boyhood – Should Win

Mark Ruffalo – Foxcatcher

J.K. Simmons – Whiplash – Will Win

Edward Norton – Birdman

This one is kind of hard for me.  Simmons is amazing as a hell-driven music teacher in Whiplash, but I think in a very subtle way Hawke actually gives a better performance.

Best Actress in a Supporting Role

Patricia Arquette – Boyhood – Will Win, Should Win

Meryl Streep – Into the Woods

Laura Dern – Wild

Emma Stone – Birdman

Kiera Knightly – The Imitation Game

I also don’t think this is close.  Nobody in a lead role was as good as Arquette is.

Best Director

Alejandro Inarritu – Birdman

Richard Linklater – Boyhood

Bennet Miller – Foxcatcher

Wes Anderson – Boyhood

Morten Tyldum – The Imitation Game

If Linklater doesn’t win this it will be one of the biggest snubs in Oscar history.  He is a filmmaker who has quietly been making amazing films year after year, and “Awards people” have not been taking notice.  He deserves this more than anyone.

Writing – Adapted Screenplay

 Jason Hall– American Sniper

Graham Moore – The Imitation Game

Paul Thomas Anderson – Inherent Vice – Should Win, Will Win

Anthony McCarten – The Theory of Everything

Damien Chazelle – Whiplash

I’m going with PT Anderson here.  Here’s deserving of the win, and I also don’t think any other screenplay here was that amazing of an adaption, or film for that matter except Whiplash.

Writing – Original Screenplay

A whole bunch of people – Birdman – Should Win

Richard Linklater – Boyhood

Max Frye and Dan Futterman – Foxcatcher

Wes Anderson – Grand Budapest Hotel – Will Win

Dan Gilroy – Nightcrawler

I think Anderson wins here because he loses for Best Picture.  That’s assuming he loses, which he should.